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Of course, the blackjack dealer doesn’t always win, but many people feel the dealer wins a disproportionate number of times in blackjack. It’s a basic rule of the casino business that the house only offers games where it has an “edge”.
Match the Dealer can be added to any conventional blackjack or blackjack variant. It pays if either of the player’s initial two cards match the dealer’s up card in rank. A match in suit and rank pays more. The following two pay tables show the known pay tables available according to the number of decks. Of course, the blackjack dealer doesn’t always win, but many people feel the dealer wins a disproportionate number of times in blackjack. It’s a basic rule of the casino business that the house only offers games where it has an “edge”. The house’s edge is baked into the game. But the edge doesn’t guarantee the dealer will always win. Here are analyses of dealer match (Match the Dealer) and 20s (Royal 20’s - Wizard of Odds). A good rule of thumb is that if a side bet pays frequently, like dealer match, the casino will take a 3% to 5% edge. For longshot bets like 20s, the casino will take about a 20% edge.
The house’s edge is baked into the game.
But the edge doesn’t guarantee the dealer will always win. Over the long run the dealer should only win slightly more often than a perfect player.
So what gives?
The old adage “perception is reality” works on one level because you play the game by how you perceive it. But on another level appearances can be deceiving. And sometimes the players themselves are responsible for the deceptive appearances.
Here are 7 reasons why the blackjack dealer always seems to win.1 – Players May Not Understand Probabilities Well Enough
If you’re not trying to count cards, then you don’t even need to worry about the probabilities. Basic blackjack strategy takes all that into consideration.
In blackjack there are only two kinds of probabilities players should think about. The first and most well-known is the division between theoretical return to player and house edge.
Contrary to some players’ thinking, the house edge doesn’t predict how often the house wins. The house edge predicts how much money the house keeps. The assumption behind the house edge is wager-neutral.In other words, the statistical likelihood that the house keeps about 1% of the money over the long-term doesn’t have anything to do with how much players bet on each game. The payout odds are calculated on the assumption that everything happens in random fashion.
Although the house needs to win a lot in blackjack to get ahead, the differences between payout odds and probabilities of card play create the edge. In any gambling game, if there is a statistical 50-50 chance of a certain outcome, the house will pay less than 1:1 on the odds.
The only other probability players need to care about is the probability that the next card they are dealt helps them. How many people are playing at your table doesn’t matter. What matters is what’s left in the shoe when it’s your turn for a card.2 – The Number of Hands You Play per Hour Matters
If you’re playing head to head with the dealer, you can go through as many as 200 hands in an hour. If there are four other people at the table with you then each round takes longer. You’ll play fewer hands per hour.
Just using basic strategy against the house, you’ll lose money over time. The game is designed to pay slightly less than the true probabilities allow. So the more hands you play, the more likely the house will “win” your money away from you.
You should still win a lot of hands against the dealer. The house’s strategy is a long game. The more hands you play the more likely they’ll keep some or all of your money.3 – Bad Game Play Provides the House with a “Hidden” Edge
The casino counts on most players making mistakes or bad calls. An inexperienced player makes a bad call. An experienced player who should know better makes a mistake.
Either way, if you hit or stand when you shouldn’t you make it more likely that the house wins.
If you split when you shouldn’t you make it more likely that the house wins. If you miss an opportunity to split it’s not so bad but you could win twice or more against the house on a favorable split.On those rare occasions when doubling down would pay off well, if you don’t see the opportunity you’ll pass it by.
Player strategy often enhances the house’s strategy. And whereas you decide your strategy on the fly the house is playing by a very simple rule book. House strategy never changes.
I imagine a guy dancing around a fight ring, trying to show off, while the dealer waits to whack him hard in the face. Your opponent isn’t going anywhere, trying to do flashy moves, or hiding anything. He’s just waiting for you to do something stupid.
With few exceptions players sometimes make it easy for the dealer by using the wrong strategy.4 – The House Undermines Your Advantage Play
If you count cards the way most people advise you to, you’ll raise and lower your bets in a predictable fashion. This is like jumping up on the table, waving your arms, and shouting “hey, I’m counting cards!”
That strategy may have worked well in the 1960s but today’s casinos just shuffle the cards. All your counting is wasted time and energy.
This is why card counters like to work in teams. They can be more subtle, although the casinos still look for coordinated play.
Continuous shuffling machines may have ruined card counting forever. If not, the larger shoes and option to reshuffle on a whim make card counting a less rewarding strategy for most players.
If it seems like the house is winning more than you think they should, it could be you’re counting cards badly or needlessly.5 – Are You Tipping the Dealer?
The dealer literally wins when you leave a tip. While this is considered a courteous habit and one I myself practice, it makes it all that much harder for you to get ahead.
I limit my tips to when I leave the table. I’ve seen some players split their winnings on big bets with the dealer. Assuming that’s completely legit, it still reduces the player’s winnings.
Whether you tip the dealer or not, the house is winning if you do tip the dealer. Those tips help casino employees pay their bills. I’ve seen some people argue against tipping because it “supports the system”.
I don’t think it’s fair to push casino employees into a moral quagmire. Either tip or don’t tip, but the tip costs you money. It does affect your win-loss ratio proportionate to how often and how much you tip.6 – Is the Dealer Feeding You Bad Advice?
I’ve played a few tables where the dealers answered player questions. Blackjack dealers don’t have to be expert players. They only follow one strategy.
If you’ve got a friendly dealer who shares advice, he or she may be well-intentioned but that doesn’t mean they know the best strategy.
I’ve never questioned the integrity of a blackjack dealer. But they may push a progressive bet option. If you want a guaranteed way to improve the house edge in blackjack, go for the progressive wager on the side.7 – Are You Using a Betting System?
Sooner or later someone sits down at the table with a betting system ready to go. Card counters raise their wagers when they believe the deck favors them but I’ve seen other betting systems.
One guy alternated his bets. He played $25 on one hand and $50 on the next. If he had played perfect strategy it shouldn’t have mattered.
When you talk betting strategies with people someone always brings up the Martingale System. The strategy is simple. Only make minimum wagers until you lose and then double your wager on the next bet to win back what you lost.
The Martingale System requires an endless supply of money, luck, or both. I’ve never met a great blackjack player who believed in a betting system. The best players I’ve sat next to had a set wager amount they always played and stuck to their games.Conclusion
One of the most important things in gambling is to manage your expectations. The more you expect to win the greater your disappointment will be.I don’t walk into a casino expecting to lose all my money. I expect to enjoy myself. I want to get the most value for my time and money spent there.
When people allow their expectations to get out of hand they try to make up for disappointment with risky bets. I’ve been one of those guys who got so frustrated he started making aggressive wagers.
When you stop caring about how well you’re playing you should walk away from the table. You can always go back later when you’re feeling better.
The only way the house doesn’t win is if you enjoy yourself and stay in budget. Dropping $200 at a casino is no different from buying $200 concert tickets.
If it’s all for fun and you enjoy yourself the house can’t take that away from you.
Sep 11, 2015AC or Vegas? What is your preference? (Image: Randal Birkey)
Atlantic City Blackjack and Vegas Strip Blackjack are the two games with the lowest blackjack house edge, but which one to choose?
• Two variants with the lowest blackjack house edge• Choose your game based on different important factors• Atlantic City vs. Las VegasBlackjack Match The Dealer House Edge Casino
There are countless blackjack types offered by land-based and online casinos but how do we know which one is the perfect match? Obviously, the best thing to do is play them in real money or free online blackjack mood. For a more intense experience I’d go with the first option, but some might want to keep it safe. Either way, blackjack is a fascinating game and with all the different variants it will never get boring.
Let’s not forget that some of you might not have the time to go through all the blackjack types. That’s why we prepared this guide to the variants with the lowest blackjack house edge, outlining the most important Blackjack rule variations to help your decision. Please note that the rules might differ from casino to casino, so make sure to take a look at the destination’s terms & conditions before playing.Atlantic City Blackjack: deck overloadAtlantic City Blackjack is played with a looong deck (Photo: NY Times)
Atlantic City Blackjack is present at almost all online casinos. It is played with eight decks and its most apparent rule addition is Late Surrender, a great way to decrease the house edge. The house edge of Atlantic City Blackjack is 0,35% which is pretty decent especially if compared to the other variants. Late Surrender is available after the dealer checked for a blackjack. It’s kind of like a blackjack-lifebelt since you can save half of your wager. In Atlantic City Blackjack you’re also allowed to ‘Double Down’ if you have a two-card hand, meaning that your bet gets doubled but you have to stand after getting one extra card. Furthermore, if you have two card of identical value you can split them for an additional wager.Blackjack Match The Dealer House Edgewater
• Number of decks: 8• Blackjack House Edge: 0,35%• Options: double down, split, late surrenderVegas Strip Blackjack: the variant with the lowest blackjack house edgeVegas Strip blackjack is like the city itself: risky and captivating (Photo: Wiki)
I’m not surprised that Vegas Strip Blackjack is the most popular among the Sin City-style options, as its blackjack house edge is only 0,34%. It’s my game of preference, mostly because Vegas Strip Blackjack is really close to the classic but it still brings something new to the table. The most prevalent difference is that the dealer shuffles four decks of blackjack cards. The house always stands on a 17, doesn’t matter if soft or hard. While playing this variant you can double down on any two-card hands even after splitting. Yes, you can split three times, but when it comes to aces there’s only one chance offered. Keep in mind that if you receive a ten valued card after splitting aces, your hand will be ‘21’ and not a blackjack!Blackjack Match The Dealer House Edge Calculator
• Number of decks: 4• Blackjack House Edge: 0,34%• Options: double down, split, 21/Blackjack
Tags: Atlantic City blackjack, Atlantic City vs. Las Vegas, best blackjack types, best blackjack variants, Blackjack, blackjack cards, blackjack dealer, blackjack decks, blackjack house edge, blackjack options, blackjack rule variations, blackjack variants, Double Down, free online blackjack, hard 17, house edge, late surrender, lowest blackjack house edge, Online blackjack, options, soft 17, splitting, surrender, Vegas Strip BlackjackRelated posts:Blackjack Match The Dealer House Edge Chart
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